79 flights · 7 Feb – 21 Aug 2026 · engine 344.5 → 407 hrs · airframe 1182.8 hrs
Prepared for the condition inspection starting 31 Aug 2026
Two changes since 17 Aug, both from re-measuring rather than from anything the aeroplane did: the left fuel sender comes off the list, and the autopilot watch item is dropped. Nothing was changed on the aircraft between assessments — oil added and fuel as needed.
The 13 Aug detector gated on RPM > 1500, which threw away taxi and idle —
and that is where 60% of the fault time lives. Re-run at RPM > 900 with a −40 °F threshold,
the same logs tell a much bigger story.
| 13 Aug detector | Corrected detector | |
|---|---|---|
| Flights affected since 29 Jun | 13 of 33 | 26 of 33 |
| Episodes | 17 | 63 |
| Flagged time | ~44 min | 175 min |
Each column is one flight, ordered by engine hour. Nothing before 29 Jun; near-continuous after.
The onset date survives the looser threshold. The 46 flights from 7 Feb to 29 May show zero probe-signature episodes even at −40 °F. The deepest deviation anywhere pre-onset is −43 °F on 7 Feb — and there EGT #4 was also 165 °F below the pack, i.e. a genuinely cool cylinder in cruise, not the probe. The fault starts on the first flight after the month-long layup.
The three new legs are more of the same. 20 Aug outbound was completely clean (deepest deviation −37 °F) — the seventh clean flight since onset. 20 Aug inbound ran two episodes totalling 449 s with a worst deviation of −146 °F, the deepest since 11 July. The 21 Aug night circuits produced five separate episodes, 360 s in total. EGT #4 stayed normal on all of them (+0 to +19 °F). Prevalence has held near 80% of flights for eight weeks with no sign of settling.
35 s at 1380 RPM. CHT #4 sheds 106 °F while cylinders 1–3 climb; EGT #4 never moves. Takeoff power at t=25 s and the channel snaps back within 4 s.
Mean CHT #4 minus mean of cylinders 1–3, level cruise only. Above the line = #4 reads warm, below = #4 reads cold. It wanders flight to flight, but the centre of the distribution has moved.
Correcting the 17 Aug wording here. That pass said the offset "now sits at −7 to −15 °F," which was three flights read as a trend. With 79 flights the honest statement is a mean shift of −7.7 °F (pre-onset +0.5 °F, n = 43; post-onset −7.2 °F, n = 32; t = 3.7) around which individual flights scatter widely — the last five read −14.9, −8.0, −6.3, −3.6 and −1.3. The shift is real; a fixed offset it is not.
The useful control is the seven post-onset flights with zero detected episodes. If the offset were only dropouts bleeding into the cruise window, those flights should sit near zero. They average −6.5 °F, against −7.4 °F for flights that did have episodes. So the channel reads low even when it is behaving — which still argues for a degrading junction rather than a seating problem, and so for replacement rather than a re-seat.
Peaks of 230 °F (29 Jun), 220 °F (30 Jun) and 228 °F (3 Jul) — the three highest in the dataset, against an ordinary range of 176–218 °F. Nothing in the 28 flights since. The shape of those three is what tells you where to look.
Residual after regressing cruise oil temp on outside air temp and average CHT — i.e. how hot the oil ran relative to how hot it should have run that day. Zero is the fleet baseline.
These are isolated spikes on an otherwise flat baseline. Exactly one flight — 3 Jul morning — sits far off the line at +28 °F. Every other flight in the window is inside the ordinary ±6 °F scatter, and the baseline itself has not moved: mean residual is −0.4 °F for February to May (n = 43) and −0.9 °F for 10 July to 21 August (n = 28). Nothing is drifting. Whatever caused those three flights switched on and then off again.
Morning and afternoon of the same day, about four hours apart. The morning leg climbs until it pins at 228 °F and holds for 16 minutes. The afternoon leg settles at 204 °F and stays there.
It has been quiet since: 28 flights since 3 July, peaks 189–209 °F. The 21 Aug night circuits peaked at 206 °F, the warmest of the three new legs and entirely normal for the conditions (29 °C at the surface). An intermittent valve that has not stuck in 21 engine hours is exactly what you would expect to see, which is why this stays on the list but at the bottom of it — worth doing while the cowl is off, not worth chasing on its own.
Cylinder 3 holds the flight's peak CHT on 72 of 79 flights. Nothing has crossed 450 °F since 30 Jun — 30 flights, max peak 445 °F. The 21 Aug night circuits peaked at 435 °F, the highest of the three new legs and unremarkable for pattern work.
Highest CHT on any cylinder, in flight. The line marks the 450 °F caution threshold.
A correction to the 13 Aug pass. Peak CHT has crossed 450 °F on four flights, not three: 15 Feb (455 °F, cylinder 2, 47 s), 16 May (454 °F, cyl 3, 30 s), 29 Jun (470 °F, cyl 3, 60 s) and 30 Jun (466 °F, cyl 3). The 13 Aug pass missed the February one because it sat on cylinder 2 rather than 3 — which is mildly interesting on its own: the hot-cylinder story is not exclusively #3.
Do not read the two 16 Aug legs (peaks 405 and 401 °F) as improvement — both cruised at 4700–4800 ft rather than the usual 2200 ft, so the cooling air was colder. EGT 3 remains mid-pack, with no sick-cylinder indicators. Keep the baffle inspection.
Percentage of level-cruise samples sitting ≥2 gal away from the channel's own 61-sample rolling median. This metric had a bug, and fixing it changes the conclusion.
Upper panel is the typical flight in each era (median); lower panel is that era's worst single flight. 73 flights have enough non-rail cruise data to measure. Note the two panels use different scales.
Right — real, and holding. The typical flight went from 0.14% in Feb–May to 1.60% in Jun–Jul and 2.30% in August, a sixteenfold rise in the median that has now persisted across three months. Worst flights reach 10.8% with 5 gal deviations. This is a genuine degrading sender.
Left — cleared. The typical flight went the other way: 0.28% → 0.09% → 0.00%, with an August maximum of 0.36% and a worst deviation of 2 gal across ten unmasked flights. Its apparent spring "spikes" were rail artifacts. The 20 Aug outbound leg is the cleanest test in the dataset — neither tank near the rail at any point in cruise — and both channels read 0.36% and 0.12%.
Re-verified across all 79 flights.
| Parameter | Result | Read |
|---|---|---|
| Oil pressure, normalized | +0.09 psi / 25 h · r = 0.03 · mean 69.4 | Flat. Last three 69.0 / 65.1 / 70.9 |
| Oil temp baseline | raw +6.2 °F / 25 h · r = 0.51 | Seasonal OAT, not the engine |
| Electrical | 14.18 V mean · +0.019 V / 25 h · r = 0.29 | No engine-running low-voltage events |
| Mag / runup | 160–220 °F EGT rise, all four | No dead or lazy plug signature |
| Combustion stability | FF jitter 0.13–0.19 gph · EGT jitter 1.2–2.0 °F | No cylinder standing out |
| Cruise efficiency | +0.11 gph / 25 h · r = 0.09 | Scatter. No power loss |
| Fuel pressure | mean 5.14 psi · −0.38 psi / 25 h · r = −0.35 | Last three 4.25 / 4.09 / 5.50 — no continued fall |
| Carbon monoxide | 0 ppm, sensor reporting ~100% | Clean |
| Autopilot pitch torque | +0.09% / 25 h · r = 0.12 · 35 flights | Watch item dropped — see below |
skiprows=1, drop the short-name row, then address columns by the G3X short name
(E1 CHT4, FQty1) — the long headers change between log versions, the short names do not.RPM > 900 and CHT1 > 250 °F; flag where
CHT4 − mean(CHT1..3) < −40 °F; merge runs separated by <15 s; keep merged runs ≥5 s.
The old RPM > 1500 / −80 °F gate under-reports by roughly 5×.CHT4 − mean(CHT1..3) over level cruise
(RPM>2000, IAS>60, |VS|<200, |roll|<4°).|AP Pitch Torque| restricted to autopilot-engaged level cruise, ≥60 samples.
Averaging across all phases mixes in climbs and captures and manufactures a trend that is not there.g3x_data_log/log_*.csv, 118 files in range, 79 qualifying flights. Assessed 22 Aug 2026.
No maintenance performed between the 17 Aug and 22 Aug assessments — oil added and fuel as needed.